We consider the computational challenges associated with uncertaintyquantification involved in parameter estimation such as seismic slowness andhydraulic transmissivity fields. The reconstruction of these parameters can bemathematically described as Inverse Problems which we tackle using theGeostatistical approach. The quantification of uncertainty in theGeostatistical approach involves computing the posterior covariance matrixwhich is prohibitively expensive to fully compute and store. We consider anefficient representation of the posterior covariance matrix at the maximum aposteriori (MAP) point as the sum of the prior covariance matrix and a low-rankupdate that contains information from the dominant generalized eigenmodes ofthe data misfit part of the Hessian and the inverse covariance matrix. The rankof the low-rank update is typically independent of the dimension of the unknownparameter. The cost of our method scales as $\bigO(m\log m)$ where $m $dimension of unknown parameter vector space. Furthermore, we show how toefficiently compute measures of uncertainty that are based on scalar functionsof the posterior covariance matrix. The performance of our algorithms isdemonstrated by application to model problems in synthetic travel-timetomography and steady-state hydraulic tomography. We explore the accuracy ofthe posterior covariance on different experimental parameters and show that thecost of approximating the posterior covariance matrix depends on the problemsize and is not sensitive to other experimental parameters.
展开▼
机译:我们考虑与参数估算中涉及的不确定性量化相关的计算挑战,例如地震慢度和水力透射率场。这些参数的重建可以用数学方法描述为逆问题,我们可以使用地统计学方法来解决。地统计学方法中不确定性的量化涉及计算后协方差矩阵,而后者对于完全计算和存储而言过于昂贵。我们认为在最大撇号(MAP)点处的后协方差矩阵的有效表示是先验协方差矩阵和低秩更新的总和,该低秩更新包含来自Hessian数据不匹配部分的主要广义本征模和逆协方差矩阵的信息。低等级更新的等级通常与未知参数的维数无关。我们的方法的成本按$ \ bigO(m \ log m)$缩放,其中$ m $未知参数向量空间的维数。此外,我们展示了如何高效地计算基于后协方差矩阵的标量函数的不确定性度量。我们的算法的性能通过在合成行程层析成像和稳态液压层析成像中对模型问题的应用得到证明。我们探索了后方协方差在不同实验参数上的准确性,并表明近似后方方差矩阵的成本取决于问题的大小,并且对其他实验参数不敏感。
展开▼